Jawapan Awal: Pakatan Ada Jalan Laksanakan Program Buku Jingga

Saya memberikan cadangan secara kasar supaya rakyat dapat meneliti sendiri angka yang diberikan dan menilai sebanyak mana wang yang ‘bocor’ dari kantung negara setiap tahun. Hanya dengan dua langkah mudah, kita mempunyai lebihan wang sebanyak 3 kali ganda berbanding apa yang dijanjikan dalam Buku Jingga. Bukan itu sahaja, bahkan kita memiliki wang lebih untuk membayar benda lain seperti penjara-penjara baru untuk ahli politik kaki rasuah yang suka suki membuncitkan perut sendiri dan kroni dengan cara merampas hak rakyat terbanyak selama ini.

Ini hanyalah perkiraan kasar kerana tidak cukup masa, tapi angka kasar ini sudah cukup menjelaskan segalanya. Sebarang komen balas dialu-alukan.

1) BN selalu berkata bahawa banyak perkara yang kita tidak mampu, kononnya ia akan memufliskan negara, terutamanya pada perkara yang melibatkan bantuan langsung pada rakyat terbanyak. Pada masa lalu, bantuan kewangan yang signifikan yang sedang dilaksanakan di Selangor dan Pulau Pinang adalah sesuatu yang mustahil di bawah BN, kerana dakwa mereka, kononnya kerajaan kekurangan dana.

Semenjak mengambil alih, PR di Selangor telah memulangkan sekitar RM150 juta setahun kepada rakyat terbanyak dalam bentuk air percuma, bantuan kemasukan ke universiti, skim mikrokredit dan sebagainya. Sebab musabab kenapa PR mampu dan BN sentiasa berdolak dalih sambil memberi alasan adalah kerana PR sentiasa berusaha untuk meminimakan ketirisan dana awam yang berpunca dari korupsi dan rasuah.

2) Laporan Ketua Audit  Negara menganggarkan bahawa negara kehilangan RM28 billion ( 28, 000 juta ringgit) setiap tahun akibat korupsi dan rasuah seperti kaedah pemerolehan yang tidak telus, projek kerajaan yang tidak selesai, peningkatan harga kos sewaktu fasa pembinaan dan sebagainya.

Kita tidak perlu mewujudkan sebarang skim pembiayaan kebangsaan yang hanya sekadar gah pada nama dan slogan, cukup hanya dengan mengatasi masalah korupsi dan rasuah sahaja, kita mampu menjimatkan RM28 billion yang boleh disalurkan untuk kepentingan rakyat terbanyak.

Jumlah yang tiris ini adalah fakta, dan PR komited untuk memulangkan jumlah yang besar ini kepada rakyat terbanyak.

Selain itu, menghentikan perbelanjaan yang membazir, tidak perlu dan keterlaluan oleh kerajaan juga akan mewujudkan budaya berhemat dalam berbelanja. Contohnya, menghentikan perjalanan PM ke luar negara yang terlalu kerap sehinggakan tempoh masa beliau di luar negara adalah sama dengan tempoh masa beliau di dalam Malaysia. Begitu juga jumlah bayaran untuk mendapatkan kepakaran pemutar belit APCO (RM77 juta) atau penubuhan PEMANDU (RM66 juta) – BN mungkin akan menghujahkan bahawa jumlah ini kecil, tapi ini merupakan gambaran bahawa kerajaan sekarang mengamalkan budaya membazir dan wewenang dalam membelanjakan wang rakyat.

3) Setiap tahun, PETRONAS terpaksa membelanjakan RM19 billion (19,000 juta ringgit) untuk membayar subsidi gas kepada IPP (Penjanakuasa Bebas – dimiliki oleh kroni) yang mendapat keuntungan lumayan kerana mereka dilindungi dari naik turun harga tenaga asli di pasaran.

PETRONAS terpaksa membeli gas dari Natuna (Indonesia) dan JDA (Thailand) pada harga yang jauh lebih tinggi, kemudian menjual semula kepada IPP pada satu pertiga dari harga asal, semuanya berjumlah RM19 billion.

Sekiranya perjanjian ini dibatalkan, kita akan mempunyai keuntungan RM19 billion setahun yang boleh dibayar semula oleh PETRONAS pada kerajaan, sekaligus dipulangkan semula pada rakyat.

Setiap tahun juga, kerajaan membelanjakan RM4 billion setahun sebagai pampasan kepada syarikat konsesi lebuhraya. Jumlah sebanyak ini dapat dikembalikan kepada rakyat jika struktur tol dibetulkan semula, seperti yang dijanjikan dalam Buku Jingga.

4) Hanya dengan mengatasi ketirisan yang berlaku akibat korupsi, menghapuskan subsidi korporat kepada IPP dan pampasan tol kepada syarikat konsesi, kita ada sejumlah (RM28 billion + RM19 billion + RM4 billion = RM51 billion) RM51,000 juta setiap tahun.

Jumlah ini lebih dari mencukupi untuk melunaskan segala janji yang terkandung dalam Buku Jingga.

5) Berapa jumlah yang diperlukan untuk laksanakan janji-janji dalam Buku Jingga?

Elaun khas guru – RM3.2 billion setahun.

Subsidi diesel dan petrol kepada golongan yang memerlukan (di bawah pendapatan tertentu), selepas penstrukturan semula subsidi supaya hanya yang dari golongan bawahan akan beroleh manfaat: anggaran RM4 billion setahun.

Subsidi gas memasak (LPG): Anggaran RM4 billion setahun.

Maka, jumlah bayaran subsidi dan elaun khas yang dijanjikan dalam Buku Jingga: RM11.2 billion.

Harga yang ditawarkan oleh KWSP dan Khazanah untuk ambilalih keseluruhan aset dan operasi lebuhraya PLUS adalah RM23 billion. Sayap pelaburan kerajaan dan agensi kerajaan pada masa ini (melalui Khazanah dan KWSP) sudahpun memiliki 67.3% PLUS, maka tambahan kos untuk memulangkan keseluruhan aset dan operasi kepada kerajaan (beli dari pemegang saham minoriti) hanyalah RM7.5 billion.

6) Makanya, Jumlah keseluruhan adalah RM3.2 bilion (elaun khas guru) + RM4 bilion (subsidi bahan api) + RM4 bilion (gas memasak) + RM7.5 bilion (pembelian saham minoriti PLUS) = RM18.7 bilion.

Jumlah ini adalah begitu kerdil untuk dibandingkan dengan RM51 b yang boleh diperoleh melalui penstrukturan semula subsidi dan penghapusan korupsi/rasuah.

Adalah jelas bahawa isunya bukanlah sama ada kita mampu atau tidak, kerana angka membuktikan bahawa kita memang mampu.

Ia hanya memerlukan kesungguhan politik, terutamanya apabila BN begitu bersungguh-sungguh untuk menghapuskan subsidi minyak tetapi tidak langsung memikirkan tentang subsidi yang diberikan pada IPP.

Apa kata anda? Masih tidak mampukah kita? Atau BN-UMNO masih mahu berdolak dalih kerana tidak mahu hilang sokongan taikoon besar? Keh keh keh!

(Terjemahan oleh Sdr Juwaini)

Laman Blog Baru PKR Cabang Kemaman

PKR Cabang Kemaman melancarkan blog baru sejak bulan Oktober, untuk memuatkan laporan aktiviti dan isu-isu semasa dari Kemaman. Sebagai kawasan Parlimen separa bandar, pengaruh internet di kalangan pengundi Kemaman adalah lebih tinggi berbanding tempat-tempat lain di pantai timur, apatah lagi dengan kehadiran professional dalam industri minyak dan gas di Kerteh dan Paka.

Saya mengalu-alukan pandangan dan sokongan teman-teman untuk mengikuti perkembangan usaha-usaha membawa perubahan dari the oil and gas capital of Malaysia yang bertempat di Kemaman.

Blog cabang Kemaman boleh diakses di http://keadilankemaman.wordpress.com

Quick Response to PM’s Challenge on How PR Will Fund Buku Jingga Promises

I put something up quickly so that Malaysians can go through the number ourselves and see how much money escapes our system each year. Just by taking two quick steps, there is almost 3 times more money to pay for the pledges made in Buku Jingga. Not only that, we will have more than enough to pay other things too (including new jails for all corrupt politicians who had enjoyed enriching themselves at the expense of the people all this while!).

The response is crude as I was rushing, but the no’s speak for itself.

I welcome any comments 🙂

A) PHILOSOPHICALLY

– BN has always said that many things cannot be afforded or it will bankrupt the country, especially the ones that involve direct assistance to the people

– In the past, the kind of massive state assistance now implemented in Selangor and Pulau Pinang would have been unthinkable under BN, as they claimed the government lacked money

– Since taking over, PR government in Selangor has spent approximately RM150 million per annum giving back to the people, in the form of free water scheme, one off bursary for university students, microcredit etc.

– The reason why PR could do it and BN never had done, because we plugged the leakages caused by rampant corruption

B) HUGE LEAKAGES DUE TO CORRUPTION

– Auditor General’s report estimated that the country lost RM28 billion a year due to corruption – shoddy procurement practices, incomplete projects, massive cost escalations etc.

– Even without coming up with any fancy national financing schemes or new loans, by tackling corruption there is a potential RM28 billion that will be used to fund all these programs

– These amounts are real, it is the money lost each year to cronies. This amount should go back to the people

– Likewise, putting a stop to excessive and wasteful spending by government will also set the right spending culture e.g. stop PM’s frequent overseas trips to the point he spent almost an equal time overseas than in Malaysia, or the huge consultancy fees paid to APCO (RM77 million) or for the setting up of PEMANDU (RM66 million) – BN may argue this amount is small, but it’s a reflection of careless and carefree spending culture that ignores the plight of the people

C) RE-DIVERTING CORPORATE SUBSIDIES BACK TO PEOPLE

– Each year, PETRONAS has to fork out RM19 billion to pay for gas subsidies so that IPPs (owned by cronies or political establishment) can enjoy massive profits (billions each year) because they are shielded from the fluctuations or energy price

– PETRONAS has to buy gas from Natuna and JDA at much higher prices, then sell to IPP at a third of the market price – this amounts to RM19 billion each year

– If this arrangement is abolished, there is RM19 billion extra profit that PETRONAS can pay back to the government/people

– Similarly, the government spent RM4 billion each year to pay compensation to highway concessionaires – this amount can easily be reverted to people if the toll system is restructured, as promised in Buku Jingga

D) TOTAL SUM AVAILABLE

– Just by plugging the leakages due to corruption (RM28 billion) and eliminating corporate subsidies to IPP (RM19 billion) and toll compensation (RM4 billion), there is a sum of RM51 billion each year that escapes the system and went to cronies

– This amount is more than enough to pay for the promises of Buku Jingga

E) HOW MUCH DOES IT COST TO IMPLEMENT 100 DAYS REFORM

– Special allowance for teachers: RM3.2 billion annually

– Petrol and diesel subsidy for the needy group (those below a certain income threshold), after the restructuring of subsidy so that only those from lower income group can benefit: estimated RM4 billion annually

– LPG subsidy: estimated RM4 billion annually

– Total subsidy payment and special allowance promised in Buku Jingga: RM11.2 billion

– Price offered by EPF & Khazanah to take over the entire assets and operations of Plus highway is RM23 billion. Currently government investment arm and agencies (through Khazanah and EPF) already own 67.3% of PLUS, so the additional cost to return the whole assets and operations to government (by buying from minority shareholders) is RM7.5 billion

F) TOTAL SUM PAYABLE TO IMPLEMENT BUKU JINGGA

– Total sum is RM3.2 b (special allowance) + RM4 b (petrol/diesel subsidy) + RM4 b (LPG) + RM7.5 b (payment to minority shareholders to take over PLUS) = RM18.7 b

– This amount is a small sum compared to the RM51 b available from restructuring of subsidies and elimination of corruption

It’s clear that the issue of whether we can afford to pay does not exist. It’s whether there is a political will, especially when BN is so determined to dismantle fuel subsidy but did not lift a finger on gas subsidies for IPP.

What say you, still we cannot afford? Or Najib does not want to afford? Ha2.

Welcome 2011

Saying time really flies becomes such an understatement nowadays. It doesn’t just fly, it disappears in a blink of an eye.

2010 was intense. I said good bye to a mundane corporate job in 2009, thinking that I could take one day at a time in a new role. I remember spending some time designing the whole organisation and finalising position description, but it wasn’t long before things were overtaken by the intense events of 2010.

My official return to the party inner circle was greeted with the departure of the previous Secretary General, who by co-incidence was also an acquaintance. Not long after that, the notorious defection of the 5 MPs marred the start of 2010.

Just as we were picking things up, the protracted attacks on the party (internally and externally) as a result of our election bogged things further. I too had to go through a maturing few months as I threw the gauntlet for the AMK post.

In the midst of this, many things had to happen behind the scene to keep things together. There were a lot of frustrations, but the very little joy you gained seeing the little contribution to the struggle makes it worthwhile.

I learnt a lot in 2010. I saw the strength and burden of a group of people who genuinely wanted to change the country for the better, as they face constant attacks. I saw the personal side of the public politicians whose public persona often makes people forget that they too are human beings, just like you and me.

I saw heroism and I saw betrayals. I witnessed honesty contrasted with back-stabbing.

Throughout all of this, I make new friends and comrades most of whom appear out of nowhere. I renew faith in the people of the past whose paths had strayed away temporarily.

2010 was intense, but so was the lessons it imparts. It drains us immensely yet it grounds us firmly on this path too.

A few days ago, I sat down with a young guy (barely early 20s) who is so eager to come onboard and help the party. I keep asking whether he knows what he wants in life, or whether he understands that politics in KEADILAN must come from idealism so that you stay true to that promise you made when you first decide to enter the ring.

I wanted to change the world in 1998 when I was 21. Along the way, I realise the world was not for me to change; I was just an insignificant traveller looking for Allah’s blessing. By the time I was 30, I understood the meaning of a struggle, seeing the very one person who was the biggest motivation for me to be in politics lied lifeless having forfeited everything for his idealism.

Idealism is painful. More often than not it sows a bitterness that had turned so many of the past activists of KEADILAN against the party.

For things do not change quickly. Lest we forget, everything that is worth fighting for is worth waiting, no matter how long it will take.

And this struggle will be long and outlive us. I don’t pretend to know what 2011 has in store for us – but it’s going to be more intense.

Just as BN will step up the attacks, they can be sure of our new year vow that we will return every brick they throw at us with a bigger brick.

2011 is going to be difficult, but the pain of 2010 would have made us more matured.

So bring it on, 2011 🙂

Menziarahi Sdr Azmi, SU Keadilan Hulu Terengganu

Alhamdulillah, minggu ini berkesempatan menziarahi Sdr Azmi, Setiausaha Cabang Hulu Terengganu yang patah kakinya selepas terlibat dalam kemalangan dalam perjalanan pulang ke Hulu Terengganu selepas Konvensyen Pakatan baru-baru ini.

Kereta yang beliau naiki bersama-sama dengan Ketua Cabang, Saudara Narawi dilanggar disisi. Kedua-dua mangsa dari kenderaan yang satu lagi meninggal ditempat kejadian.

Saya ucapkan terima kasih kepada rakan-rakan dari seluruh negara yang secara secepat mungkin menghulurkan bantuan kewangan, sehingga Saudara Azmi berjaya dibawa kembali ke Kuala Terengganu secepat mungkin.

Saudara Azmi akan menjalani pembedahan untuk dimasukkan besi dan terpaksa dirawat sehingga sebulan lagi.

Turut hadir dalam ziarah adalah Saudara Rosli (Setiausaha MPN Terengganu), Saudara Wan Daud (Ketua Cabang Setiu) dan isteri, Saudara Narawi (Ketua Cabang Hulu Terengganu), Saudara Wan Anies (Setiausaha Cabang Kemaman), Saudara Hj Alias (Ketua Penerangan Cabang Kemaman) dan Saudara Lokman (Timbalan Ketua AMK).

Ahli Parlimen Pandan dan Naib Presiden/Setiausaha Agung Parti Keadilan Rakyat || Member of Parliament for Pandan, Vice President/Secretary General of Justice Party